Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 3.511601 3.726144 3.955955 4.222044 4.523751 4.857799 5.259317
2025-06-22 3.142435 3.419335 3.730892 4.112348 4.574012 5.124862 5.848724
2025-06-29 2.837744 3.142369 3.497321 3.950312 4.527201 5.259541 6.301564
2025-07-06 2.636582 2.963284 3.355604 3.875149 4.568879 5.504647 6.952117
2025-07-13 2.565261 2.931270 3.386066 4.015076 4.905228 6.204600 8.466925
2025-07-20 2.468094 2.856816 3.353055 4.064198 5.121868 6.780850 10.033952
2025-07-27 2.437407 2.862920 3.423318 4.261166 5.587116 7.876911 13.251668
2025-08-03 2.382145 2.830908 3.437035 4.375983 5.945225 8.913873 17.417344
2025-08-10 2.283524 2.732832 3.349072 4.324997 6.014482 9.417227 20.838509
2025-08-17 2.153016 2.583500 3.177375 4.125917 5.790886 9.230938 21.627637
2025-08-24 2.057132 2.477367 3.061731 4.006067 5.695933 9.317102 23.874725
2025-08-31 2.007098 2.432349 3.031983 4.021339 5.854857 10.064824 31.564717
2025-09-07 1.947490 2.377695 2.994463 4.038090 6.058972 11.148357 50.765223
2025-09-14 1.861319 2.281246 2.888514 3.929902 5.995273 11.482135 71.359146
2025-09-21 1.771005 2.175076 2.762168 3.776357 5.814711 11.398765 89.727904
2025-09-28 1.706577 2.103737 2.685659 3.704296 5.802083 11.894343 187.026792
2025-10-05 1.691174 2.102959 2.718422 3.830614 6.264437 14.548649 NaN
2025-10-12 1.659046 2.075558 2.706856 3.874117 6.547728 16.958906 NaN
2025-10-19 1.654838 2.089476 2.762554 4.052779 7.239522 23.356706 NaN
2025-10-26 1.636203 2.080200 2.778995 4.156432 7.775003 31.665242 NaN
2025-11-02 1.593244 2.031302 2.725372 4.109609 7.844871 36.144861 NaN
2025-11-09 1.530523 1.949535 2.611974 3.928043 7.447927 32.880344 NaN
2025-11-16 1.482949 1.890073 2.534636 3.818409 7.271809 32.999590 NaN